Almagro vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 2
ALM
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
ALM
0 - 1
EST
33%
30%
38%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
RIV
0 - 2
ALM
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALM
3 - 1
INS
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ARG
0 - 0
ALM
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
NOB
2 - 0
QUI
60%
24%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
NOB
1 - 0
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOB
40%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
NOB
1 - 0
EST
57%
24%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
RIV
2 - 2
NOB
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |