Almagro vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
GLP
1 - 1
ALM
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
ALM
0 - 0
CAU
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
ARG
1 - 1
ALM
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ALM
1 - 0
BOC
9%
19%
71%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CHA
0 - 2
ALM
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
NOB
4 - 1
BEL
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
RAC
2 - 0
NOB
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
NOB
1 - 0
EST
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
NOB
0 - 0
GLP
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CAU
3 - 2
NOB
51%
23%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |