Almagro vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ARG
0 - 0
ALM
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
ALM
0 - 2
BAN
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
COL
0 - 0
ALM
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 1
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CEN
0 - 1
ALM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
INS
0 - 2
QUI
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
NOB
3 - 0
INS
74%
18%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
INS
0 - 1
ARS
23%
28%
49%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
EST
3 - 1
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
INS
0 - 2
RIV
12%
19%
68%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |