Almagro vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
GLP
2 - 1
ALM
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
BOC
1 - 1
ALM
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 1
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SLO
1 - 1
ALM
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ALM
2 - 2
LAN
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
IND
0 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
IND
2 - 0
NOB
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 1
IND
48%
28%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
IND
2 - 2
EST
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
RIV
3 - 0
IND
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |