Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
+2
7%
1-0
13%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
AND
0 - 2
ALM
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
RSA
22%
28%
51%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
IRV
0 - 0
ALM
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 0
BUC
21%
27%
52%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia Jujuy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 0
FER
47%
29%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BRO
0 - 0
GIM
39%
29%
31%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 1
PAR
58%
26%
17%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DAL
1 - 1
GIM
45%
30%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 1
DHA
53%
27%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |