Almagro vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 1
ALM
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ALM
2 - 1
ATT
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 0
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
CHA
4 - 0
ALM
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 0
IRV
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
FER
2 - 1
SMA
39%
30%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
PLA
2 - 2
FER
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
OLI
33%
30%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
FER
3 - 1
TAL
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ALD
1 - 0
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |