Almagro vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
RIV
0 - 2
ALM
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALM
3 - 1
INS
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ARG
0 - 0
ALM
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
ALM
0 - 2
BAN
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
COL
0 - 0
ALM
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
QUI
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
NOB
1 - 0
EST
57%
24%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
EST
0 - 0
ARS
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
RAC
0 - 1
EST
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 1
EST
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |