Almagro vs Dep. Maipú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
25.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 3
ALM
25%
29%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALV
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
ALM
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 1
DEP
41%
29%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 0
ALM
39%
30%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Maipú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
MAI
0 - 1
ALV
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
EST
0 - 1
MAI
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAI
2 - 2
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAI
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MAI
2 - 1
TEM
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |