Almagro vs Dep. Armenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 2
ITA
53%
27%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 2
ALM
44%
26%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
MOR
33%
29%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
SUA
1 - 0
ALM
63%
22%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
PLA
30%
29%
40%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 3
EST
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
ARM
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
CAU
2 - 1
ARM
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ARM
2 - 1
ALM
27%
26%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 0
ARM
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |