Almagro vs Dep. Armenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALM
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
COM
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SUA
0 - 0
ALM
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 2
TEM
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FEN
0 - 1
ALM
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 3
DAL
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
ARM
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 2
BAR
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
PLA
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
3 - 1
MOR
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |