Almagro vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALM
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
ALM
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
DAL
0 - 1
ALM
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 4
EST
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CAD
2 - 2
ESP
39%
27%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 1
ARM
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BER
2 - 0
CAD
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 0
DOC
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
CAD
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |