Almagro vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
TFE
2 - 0
ALM
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 3
RAF
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CAU
1 - 0
ALM
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SMA
1 - 1
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
ALM
2 - 2
PLA
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
DYJ
0 - 2
SMA
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PLA
4 - 1
DYJ
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DYJ
1 - 1
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
TAL
2 - 1
DYJ
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
DYJ
3 - 1
ALD
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |