Almagro vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 1
ALM
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 4
SMA
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
QUI
5 - 0
ALM
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 2
BHU
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
IRV
0 - 0
ALM
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DYJ
0 - 2
PLA
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
TFE
1 - 2
DYJ
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
DYJ
1 - 0
FER
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CAI
0 - 1
DYJ
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
DYJ
2 - 3
CAU
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |