Almagro vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
HUR
1 - 1
ALM
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 4
CEN
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
VEL
0 - 0
ALM
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ALM
2 - 2
IND
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
GLP
2 - 1
ALM
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 1
QUI
55%
26%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
NOB
1 - 1
COL
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
COL
0 - 2
ARS
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
EST
3 - 1
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
COL
2 - 3
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |