Almagro vs Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 2
ALM
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 2
ATL
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 2
ATL
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
ALM
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 0
BRO
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
FEN
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
MER
2 - 0
COL
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 0
COL
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
BRO
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |