Almagro vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
63.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
ALM
2 - 1
COL
17%
23%
61%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
VEL
2 - 3
ALM
86%
11%
3%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
ALM
4 - 5
RIV
6%
17%
77%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
LAN
1 - 1
ALM
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ALM
1 - 1
HUR
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
JUN
3 - 1
CEN
42%
24%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
BEL
1 - 4
CEN
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
CEN
1 - 0
RAC
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
NOB
0 - 0
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
CEN
2 - 0
GLP
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |