Almagro vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
HUR
2 - 0
ALM
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ALM
0 - 4
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
ALM
4 - 0
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
RAC
0 - 4
ALM
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
ALM
2 - 0
NOB
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
LAN
1 - 0
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
RAC
1 - 1
LAN
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
LAN
1 - 3
NOB
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
GLP
1 - 3
LAN
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
LAN
3 - 2
CAU
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |