Almagro vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
61.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAD
1 - 0
ALM
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 0
GBR
43%
30%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
AGR
1 - 1
ALM
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 0
STM
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TEM
3 - 1
ALM
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 1
TIG
51%
26%
24%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 0
BOC
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
BOC
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 0
RAC
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BOC
3 - 1
PLA
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |