Almagro vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
OLI
1 - 0
ALM
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ALM
3 - 1
SLO
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
LAN
6 - 0
ALM
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
RAC
1 - 1
ALM
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ALM
2 - 0
QUI
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
BOC
0 - 0
QUI
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
NOB
1 - 0
BOC
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
BOC
0 - 0
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
BOC
1 - 3
ARS
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
CHI
4 - 0
BOC
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |