Almagro vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
71.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CHA
0 - 2
ALM
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ALM
0 - 1
SLO
12%
21%
67%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
AND
1 - 1
ALM
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
ALM
2 - 2
TAL
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
IND
2 - 1
ALM
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
BOC
1 - 1
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
BOC
2 - 1
CAL
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
RAC
2 - 1
BOC
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
COB
0 - 1
BOC
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
BOC
2 - 2
NOB
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |