Almagro vs Ben Hur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
IRV
0 - 0
ALM
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 1
TAL
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ALD
1 - 0
ALM
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 3
FER
64%
22%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 2
ALM
53%
26%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
BHU
1 - 1
PLA
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
TFE
0 - 1
BHU
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
BHU
2 - 0
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
HUR
3 - 1
BHU
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 1
ALM
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |