Almagro vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
GBR
0 - 1
ALM
45%
29%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 3
CHA
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
BRO
3 - 0
ALM
52%
27%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 1
DEF
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 0
ALM
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
RAF
4 - 0
ALV
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
RAF
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 1
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
RAF
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 0
TEM
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |