Almagro vs Atlético Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 1
ALM
61%
26%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 1
BUC
16%
25%
60%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +4 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
AND
22%
29%
49%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDN
1 - 1
ALM
70%
21%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
CHI
12%
26%
62%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
AND
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CDN
0 - 0
PAR
56%
26%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHI
24%
32%
43%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
INS
0 - 1
PAR
64%
23%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |