Almagro vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
CCO
2 - 2
ALM
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
VSC
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
TEM
1 - 1
ALM
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 3
ARM
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 2
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 0
VSC
50%
27%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
TEM
1 - 1
ATL
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
ARM
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
ATL
46%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |