Alloa Athletic vs Stirling Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ALL
0 - 2
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ROS
1 - 0
ALL
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
ALL
0 - 2
ROS
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
ELG
0 - 3
ALL
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
ALL
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stirling Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
STI
0 - 3
CLY
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
STI
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 1
STI
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
PET
0 - 2
STI
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
STI
1 - 2
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |