Alloa Athletic vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 2
STI
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ALL
4 - 1
CFC
38%
22%
40%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 1
DUN
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 1
ALB
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
LIV
2 - 0
ALL
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
STE
1 - 0
STJ
13%
19%
68%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 3
STJ
12%
19%
69%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
STJ
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
STJ
2 - 0
LIV
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 3
STJ
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |