Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
5º
32
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 59 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 47 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
39% | 32% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ARB
1 - 3
ALL
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 3
STE
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
COV
2 - 0
ALL
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 2
MON
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 2
ALL
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
QOS
1 - 0
COV
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
QOS
1 - 1
BLA
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 0
QOS
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
QOS
2 - 1
STE
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 1
QOS
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |