Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 0
ALL
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 2
CLY
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
STR
2 - 3
ALL
63%
19%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 3
GRE
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
PET
2 - 2
ALL
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
THE
0 - 2
PET
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PET
2 - 3
BLA
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
BLA
4 - 2
PET
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CLY
2 - 0
PET
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
PET
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |