Alloa Athletic vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
5º
25
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 59 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 47 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
39% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 51% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 2
ALL
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
ALL
2 - 2
DUM
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
DUM
3 - 2
ALL
20%
21%
60%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 0
ALL
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
ALL
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
ICT
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PET
2 - 3
MON
35%
25%
41%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
BLA
56%
22%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
MON
39%
27%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
ARB
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |