Alloa Athletic vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
8º
3º
53
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STI
1 - 5
ALL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 1
BLA
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 2
QOS
50%
24%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 1
ALL
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
EDI
2 - 5
ALL
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 7
FAL
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
STI
1 - 0
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
BLA
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
COV
1 - 4
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MON
4 - 3
ALL
41%
25%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |