Alloa Athletic vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
STR
0 - 4
ALL
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 0
BLA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
THE
1 - 3
ALL
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
ALL
3 - 0
ELG
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BER
2 - 2
ALL
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
THE
3 - 1
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MON
4 - 0
CLY
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MON
1 - 3
STR
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BER
2 - 2
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
PET
2 - 3
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |