Alloa Athletic vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AYR
1 - 1
ALL
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RAI
1 - 1
ALL
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ALL
2 - 3
CWB
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 1
HOM
21%
27%
52%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
ALL
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BLA
3 - 2
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 2
QOS
37%
26%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 0
LIV
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 4
HIB
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 1
STR
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |