Alloa Athletic vs Inverurie Loco Works analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 3
QOS
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 2
ALL
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 0
FAL
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 2
ALL
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 0
HAM
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 4
INV
9%
17%
74%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 2
INV
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 1
INV
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
INV
2 - 5
NAI
74%
16%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
INV
3 - 0
BUR
85%
10%
4%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |