Scottish Championship Promotion Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 2
ALL
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 1
HAM
28%
27%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
COV
2 - 3
ALL
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STI
1 - 5
ALL
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
HAM
4 - 1
KHE
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 1
HAM
28%
27%
46%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
HAM
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 2
FAL
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 3
HAM
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |