Alloa Athletic vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 1
ALL
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 1
ALL
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ALL
3 - 2
STI
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 0
RAI
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CWB
0 - 2
ALL
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 2
DUN
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ICT
4 - 0
GRE
77%
15%
9%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 5
LIV
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
QOS
2 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUM
47%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |