Alloa Athletic vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
47.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
PET
2 - 2
ALL
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 3
LIV
18%
23%
60%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 1
ALL
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 2
STE
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
ALL
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
STR
0 - 8
GRE
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STI
3 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 2
DUN
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
GRE
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
DUN
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |