Alloa Athletic vs Edinburgh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
8º
3º
8
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
RFC
4 - 1
ALL
50%
20%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 1
ALL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
ALL
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 0
COV
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 4
FAL
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Edinburgh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EDI
2 - 2
COV
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MON
5 - 2
EDI
68%
18%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
EDI
1 - 4
EAS
23%
20%
57%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
EDI
0 - 2
FAL
17%
22%
62%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 2
EDI
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |