Alloa Athletic vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
ALL
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
ALL
3 - 0
DUN
52%
22%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 3
BRE
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 2
ALL
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALL
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
HIB
1 - 0
DUN
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 3
KIL
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 1
ABE
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
STM
1 - 2
DUN
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |