Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
5º
8
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 59 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 47 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
39% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 29% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
DUM
3 - 2
ALL
20%
21%
60%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 0
ALL
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
ALL
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
QOS
1 - 1
ALL
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ALL
5 - 0
BLA
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
DUM
3 - 2
ALL
20%
21%
60%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 1
QOS
37%
26%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 0
DUM
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DUM
0 - 3
COV
37%
25%
39%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DUM
3 - 1
ICT
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |