Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 1
ALL
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ALL
1 - 5
DUM
46%
25%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
QOS
3 - 1
ALL
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 1
CWB
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
FAL
0 - 0
ALL
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
DUM
2 - 2
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
HAM
3 - 3
DUM
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ALL
1 - 5
DUM
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CWB
2 - 4
DUM
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
DUM
2 - 0
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |