Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
QOS
3 - 1
ALL
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 1
CWB
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
FAL
0 - 0
ALL
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CWB
2 - 4
DUM
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
DUM
2 - 0
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 0
DUM
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
DUM
2 - 1
HAM
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
RAI
2 - 1
DUM
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |