Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 1
ALL
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ALL
0 - 0
EAS
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ALL
0 - 1
ARB
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
STE
1 - 0
ALL
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 0
STI
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
EAS
0 - 1
DUM
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DUM
2 - 3
STI
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PET
1 - 2
DUM
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
DUM
0 - 3
CWB
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DUM
0 - 0
STE
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |