Alloa Athletic vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ALL
0 - 0
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
ALL
1 - 0
DUN
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
ALL
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ALL
1 - 2
RAI
22%
25%
54%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
HOM
6 - 0
ALL
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CWB
0 - 1
RAI
12%
19%
70%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
CWB
2 - 0
ALB
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 1
CWB
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
CWB
0 - 2
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
STE
0 - 2
CWB
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |