Alloa Athletic vs Brechin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
STE
1 - 1
ALL
37%
26%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 5
ALL
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 2
ALL
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 1
ARB
59%
21%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
ALL
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
AYR
1 - 2
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
STE
3 - 3
BRE
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
AYR
64%
20%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 2
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |