Cup 1/32
Global 5-1
Alloa Athletic vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ALL
1 - 0
LIV
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AYR
1 - 1
ALL
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RAI
1 - 1
ALL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ALL
2 - 3
CWB
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 1
HOM
21%
27%
52%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
STR
3 - 1
AYR
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AYR
1 - 1
ALL
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AYR
0 - 2
BRE
51%
22%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 1
AYR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
AYR
0 - 1
DUN
32%
25%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |