Cup 1/64
Global 2-4
Alloa Athletic vs Annan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 1
BER
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ELG
5 - 0
ALL
50%
24%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ALL
4 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 3
ALL
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
THE
0 - 1
ALL
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BLA
1 - 1
ELG
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BLA
0 - 3
FAL
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
BLA
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BLA
3 - 0
THE
77%
16%
8%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MON
2 - 3
BLA
28%
26%
47%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |