Alloa Athletic vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
STE
0 - 1
ALL
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ALL
3 - 2
EAS
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LIV
3 - 3
ALL
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
THE
1 - 2
ALL
46%
23%
31%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 1
ALL
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
STJ
0 - 1
ABE
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ABE
4 - 0
HAM
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
KAI
2 - 0
ABE
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
PET
0 - 2
ABE
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
STM
0 - 1
ABE
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |