Alliance vs Ndanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
23.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SIM
5 - 1
AFC
86%
10%
3%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
JKT
1 - 1
AFC
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 0
LFC
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
MTI
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
COA
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ndanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
NDA
0 - 1
MBE
44%
29%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
NDA
2 - 1
TAN
34%
33%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
NDA
0 - 0
JKT
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
NDA
0 - 0
SIM
13%
24%
64%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
YOU
3 - 2
NDA
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |