Alliance vs Mwadui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BUM
1 - 0
AFC
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 2
AFC
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
MBA
55%
24%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
NAM
1 - 1
AFC
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NDA
1 - 0
AFC
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 1
NAM
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
MWA
0 - 2
NDA
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SUT
2 - 2
MWA
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 1
MWA
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BUM
2 - 1
MWA
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |