Alliance vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
COA
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
POL
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
MBE
0 - 1
AFC
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
KMC
2 - 1
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
TAN
1 - 0
AFC
56%
27%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 0
MTI
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
SUT
1 - 3
MTI
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
COA
0 - 0
MTI
43%
31%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 1
BUM
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
POL
0 - 0
MTI
42%
32%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |